Presidential Bandwagon:
Parties and Party Systems in the Philippines
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新興民主主義諸国と政党政治の安定。 ▼どのような要因が新興民主主義諸国における政党政治の安定に影響を与えるのか、という問題をフィリピンを中心に検討する。フィリピンに関して得られた知見を多国間(36カ国)データを用いて分析し、大統領の当選回数制限が1期の場合は2期の場合よりも政党政治が不安定化する一般的な傾向が存在することを立証する(全英文)。
In the wake of democratization, one of the biggest challenges facing new governments is managing a smooth transition to democratic rule. How can newly elected governments stabilize their hold on power and consolidate democratic processes? Or, under what conditions might an apparently successful transition misfire? This book explores these questions by focusing on one of the most pressing issues in consolidating democracy: the stability of party politics. Applying both qualitative and quantitative analytical techniques and focusing on the case of the Philippines from a comparative perspective, the book analyzes why the party system changed from a stable two-party system to an unstable multi-party system in the aftermath of democratization in the Philippines. The author argues that the shortened presidential term limit from two terms to one under the new Constitution was the major factor that destabilized the party system in the post-Marcos era. The book also examines in a theoretically well-informed manner other important issues in Philippine politics, such as the use of patronage in elections, the pork barrel process, and party organization structure. Using cross-national statistical analyses, the author shows how her argument on the effect of presidential term limit appears to hold true for other newly democratized regimes.

LIST OF ACROYMS LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF TABLES
Chapter 1 Introduction Democratic Consolidation and Party System Stability The Arguments Other Contributions Organization of the Book
Chapter 2 DeStabilization of Party System af ……
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粕谷祐子(かすや ゆうこ) 慶應義塾大学法学部准教授。 慶應義塾大学法学部政治学科卒業。Institutite of Social Studies (オランダ)(開発研究修士号取得)、東京大学法学政治学研究科博士課程(単位取得退学)、カリフォルニア大学サンディエゴ校IR/PS博士課程(Ph.D.取得)、日本学術振興会特別研究員、上智大学比較文化学部非常勤講師、慶應義塾大学法学部政治学科専任講師を経て現職。
Yuko Kasuya is Associate Professor in Political Science at Keio University. She holds a Ph.D. from University of California at San Diego, and has published articles in journals such as Electoral Studies, Pacific Review, and Party Politics.
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